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The demo soe9 has been replaced with a vignette
on multivariate extremes.
Added functions bvtcplot and evind.test.
Added [dpqr]nweibull functions to the namespace!
Implemented the possion likelihood for bivariate
threshold models.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-6 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Documentation edited. In particular, \synopsis sections
have been removed as this is no longer supported.
Added venice2 dataset.
Added [dpqr]nweibull functions.
The lazy loading of datasets is now implemented.
Some internal C and R code cleaning to avoid warnings.
In particular, optimizations over one parameter allow
consistent inclusion of the "Brent" method.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-5 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Included proper NAMESPACE file and removed zzz.R.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-4 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Added default NAMESPACE file to avoid note produced
under R CMD check.
Changed licence to GPL-3.
Datasets are now binary .rda files instead of .R.
Renamed doc/guide22.tex to doc/guide22.txt.
Call to library in plot.profile2d.evd did not use
full argument matching. Fixed.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-3 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Removed defunct url from description file.
Internal coding change to fpot.norm in order to
avoid note produced under R CMD check.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-2 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Added a Suggests field to the description file in
order to avoid warnings under future versions of
R CMD check.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-1 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Fitted objects now contain the variance covariance
matrix, which can be accessed by the function vcov.
New function confint (methods confint.profile.evd and
confint.evd) for calculating Wald and profile
confidence intervals. The internal function pcint
has now been deleted, and plot.profile.evd no longer
returns profile confidence intervals invisibly.
The function amvnonpar now implements non-parametric
estimators for dependence functions of extreme value
distributions of any dimension.
The function amvevd now implements parametric
evaluation of dependence functions of logistic and
asymmetric logistic models of any dimension.
I have removed the bootstrap confidence intervals
option from chiplot. This had problems with zero
empirical cdf estimates for some replications. A
solution would be to use smoothed estimates, but I
decided against implementing this.
Argument trunc added to chiplot to control whether
estimates are truncated at theoretical upper and
lower bounds.
The old interfaces to abvnonpar and amvnonpar have
been removed.
I have included a CITATION file in the /inst directory
so that typing citation("evd") returns an appropriate
citation.
The internal functions ccop and ccop.case have been
converted into a new documented function ccbvevd.
The recommended R package "stats" is now a required
package for evd.
The files INDEX and data/00Index are now unnecessary
(the information is now automatically generated from
documentation files) and have been removed.
The defunct function abvpar has been removed.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.2-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
New function hbvevd for plotting the spectral density
of bivariate extreme value models. The spectral density
is also now plotted from plot.bvevd.
Plotting diagnostics are now implemented for bivariate
threshold methods using the method function plot.bvpot.
The fbvpot function is now consistent with fbvevd;
the dsm argument has been removed, and the
asymmetric mixed model has been added. Also, the
Husler-Reiss model has been added for (undocumented)
Poisson process likelihood fitting.
The new argument boot in the function chiplot allows
bootstrap confidence intervals. The new argument
spcase plots lines corresponding to special cases
for comparison.
The functions mrlplot and tcplot have a new argument
pscale allowing the x-axis to be the threshold
exceedance probability rather than the threshold.
The default plotting character in bivariate density
plots is now a circle, to be consistent with quantile
curves plots. Also, all plotting functions now produce
all available plots by default.
The function tcplot has a new argument vci allowing
control over the plotting style of the confidence
intervals. Other arguments allow more control over
labels and limits.
The clusters function with plot = TRUE would produce
an error if no data points were above the threshold.
This has been fixed.
The demo soe9 has been expanded to include all of
Chapter Nine of the text Statistics of Extremes.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-7 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Added the asymmetric mixed bivariate model to the
function fbvevd.
A demo soe9 has been included, giving examples from
Chapter Nine of the book statistics of extremes. An
associated file demo.txt has been added to the /inst
directory.
The atvnonpar and atvpar functions have been renamed
to amvnonpar and amvevd. The abvpar function has been
renamed to abvevd, but the former still runs, with a
warning.
An argument rev has been added to abvpar and abvnonpar,
allowing the evaluation of A(1-t) rather than A(t).
It can also be passed from plot.bvevd.
The argument epmar has been added to abvnonpar and
atvnonpar. It allows empirical estimation of the
margins.
The formerly internal function mtransform is now
documented. It transforms to and from exponential
distributions under the gev model.
The profile plots now plot profile log-likelihoods
rather than profile deviances.
The plotting functions plot.uvevd and plot.bvevd
have an additional argument cilwd to control the
line width of confidence intervals.
The functions abvpar and abvnonpar now have default
axes labels and a border line width argument.
The function abvnonpar is simpler; the "tdo" method
is now undocumented, old methods "deheuvels" and
"halltajvidi" can now be implemented using the
argument madj. For back compatability, the old
interface can still be used. The weight function
option for method "cfg" has been removed, and the
"cfg" definition now has a simpler equivalent
representation. Similar changes have been made to
atvnonpar (now renamed to amvnonpar).
In fbvevd the dependence summaries, and hence the
argument dsm, have been removed, though the former
Dependence One value is now automatically given in
the output. The argument warn.inf is now undocumented.
The marginal option "exponential" to the function evmc
has been changed to "rweibull" (negative exponential)
because the former swaps the bivariate tails around.
The function anova now has a logical argument half to
deal with non-regular cases where the asymptotic
distribution of the deviance difference is known to
be one half of a chi-squared. Also, it no longer
errors when testing bilog vs log or negbilog vs bilog.
Added the dataset lossalae on general liability claims.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-6 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The exi function has been simplified; it now returns
only a single estimate, but a new estimation method
based on inter-exceedance times has been added. A new
function exiplot plots estimates of the extremal index.
The rlow argument (lower clustering interval) is now
hidden in the documentation for fpot, clusters, exi
and exiplot.
Due to numerical problems, the function rmvevd could
return Inf when the dependence parameters were small.
This has been fixed. The maintainer thanks
Mohammed Mehdi Gholam Rezaee for reporting this.
The anova function errored when used inside another
function. This is now corrected. The maintainer thanks
William Valdar for reporting this.
In function abvnonpar the method "hall" is now
"halltajvidi", and an additional comment has been added
to the help file, following a request from Nader Tajvidi.
Typographic sign error in User's Guide corrected.
The maintainer thanks C L Wong for reporting this.
Spelling errors in uccle help file corrected. The
maintainer thanks Tobias Verbeke for reporting
this. Apologies to residents of Belgium!
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-5 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The data passed to the bivariate fitting function
fbvevd can now be a data frame with a third column
of mode logical. See the corresponding documentation
for more details.
A new dataset called sealevel2 has been introduced.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-4 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The lower.tail argument for pbvevd and pmvevd did not
properly produce survivor functions when set to FALSE.
This has been fixed.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-3 ARE AS FOLLOWS
A file was accidently included in Version 2.1-3 which
meant that the package would not easily install under
C compilers other than gcc. This has been fixed.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-2 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The function dextreme errored when the argument
largest was FALSE. This has been fixed. The
maintainer thanks Brian Tolley for reporting this.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-1 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The function fbvevd now has arguments cshape, cscale
and cloc for fitting common marginal parameters.
The function fbvpot now has arguments cshape and
cscale for fitting common marginal parameters.
The Husler-Reiss model is now implemented in fbvpot.
New function chiplot for plotting estimates of the
dependence measures chi and chi-bar for bivariate
data.
The latex file for The Users' Guide is now included
in the doc directory along with the pdf file.
The default x-label "theshold" in mrlplot has been
corrected to "threshold".
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.1-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
New function fbvpot for fitting bivariate threshold
models. A plot method for these models will be
implemented at a later date.
New argument sym in function fbvevd, to allow the
fitting of dependence structures under a symmetry
constraint. The argument also exists in the new
function fbvpot.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.0-1 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Univariate threshold models are now implemented. The main
new function is fpot, which calculates maximum likelihood
estimates under the generalized Pareto and point process
representations.
Density, distribution, quantile and simulation functions
for the generalized Pareto distribution have been added.
The new function clusters identifies extreme clusters. A
related function exi calculates estimates of a quantity
known as the extremal index.
The new plotting functions mrlplot and tcplot aid
threshold selection.
The class structure has changed slightly.
Models fitted using fextreme and forder still have class
c("extreme", "evd"). Models fitted using fbvevd still have
class c("bvevd", "evd"). Models fitted using the new
function fpot have class c("pot", "uvevd", "evd"). Models
fitted using fgev now have class c("gev", "uvevd", "evd").
The method function plot.gev is now plot.uvevd. This
operates on both the gev and pot classes, due to the new
class structure.
The defunct functions fgumbel, frweibull, ffrechet (each
defunct since version 1.2-0) and fbvall (defunct since
version 2.0-0) have been removed.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 2.0-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Internal change to avoid warnings under R version 1.7.0 when
calling the multivariate asymmetric logistic distribution,
density, quantile and generation functions.
The tests directory has been removed.
The function evmc unintentionally reversed asymmetric
dependence structures. This has been fixed. The
maintainer thanks Chris Ferro for reporting this.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.2-3 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The function fgev.quantile is now internal; the functionality
has been absorbed into fgev.
It is now possible to parameterize gev model fits using the
endpoint of the distribution by setting prob to zero or one
in fgev.
New functions for generating stochastic processes associated
with extreme value theory. marma, mar and mma generate max
autoregressive moving average processes. evmc generates first
order Markov chains with bivariate extreme value dependence
structures.
The functions fbvlog, fbvalog, etc are now internal. The new
function fbvevd should be used for the fitting of all bivariate
models.
The rbvevd, dbvevd and pbvevd functions replace individual
functions for bivariate models. Similarly, rmvevd and dmvevd
functions replace individual functions for multivariate models.
The function abvpar replaces individual functions for
plotting and calculating the dependence functions of
parametric bivariate models.
New functions atvnonpar and atvpar, which calculate and plot
dependence functions of trivariate extreme value distributions,
using non-parametric estimates and parametric models (at given
parameter values).
Fitted bivariate models (i.e. objects of class bvevd) now
include Akaike's Information Criterion and, optionally,
various dependence structure summaries. The argument dsm
controls this option.
New lower.tail argument in bivariate and multivariate
distribution functions.
The function pcint is now internal. Profile confidence intervals
are now invisibly returned from plot.profile.evd. Also, the
argument ci of plot.profile.evd can now be a vector.
Functions called from plot.evd (dens, pp, qq, rl) and plot.bvevd
(bvdens, bvdp, bvcpp) are now internal.
The default labelling of the x-axis for the return level plot
has been changed from the technically correct
"-1/log(1-1/Return Period)" to the more widely used
"Return Period".
There now exists a density function for the multivariate asymmetric
logistic model. The density function can be calculated by calling
dmvevd with model = "alog".
The argument mar of rmvevd, pmvevd and dmvevd can now be a list
with d elements, where d is the dimension of the distribution.
An extraction function logLik.evd has been added so that the
function AIC.default in R base can be used.
The function profile2d.evd has a new method argument (to be
consistent with profile.evd) and new arguments xaxs and
yaxs (to override the default behaviour of the function image).
The function plot.bvevd has new arguments blty (border
line type) and grid.
In the function abvnonpar the logical argument convex replaces
the numeric argument modify.
The functions fext, rext, etc are now called fextreme,
rextreme, etc.
The objects formery of class "evd" are now of class
c("gev","evd") or c("extreme","evd"). The plot.evd function
is now plot.gev.
The row names of all data.frame datasets are now the years of
observation. Furthermore, the period of observation for the
venice data has been corrected in the help file.
The arguments mesh and conf in profile.evd now work as
documented.
The fbvall function is defunct.
New datasets: failure, fox, lisbon, ocmulgee, oldage, sask
and uccle.
The CHANGES file has been moved to the top-level directory.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.2-2 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Two more datasets - venice and portpirie, intended for use
in the evdbayes package.
Fixed minor problem with extraction functions for bvall objects
when only one model is fitted.
Contours for bivariate density plots are now chosen by
the contour function.
Error messages in internal functions are more informative.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.2-1 ARE AS FOLLOWS
New methods hall and tdo for calculating non-parametric
dependence function estimates.
BUG fix: the non-parameteric dependence function estimator of
Caperaa et al (the default) was plotting/calculating A(1-x)
rather than A(x).
The recommended citation for the package is now the article
included in R-News Volume 2/2.
Extra graphical arguments have been included in the abv[...]
functions.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.2-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
The profile.evd function now has a method argument to specify
the optimization method. The default method is now BFGS.
A BUG existed in profile.evd; a fatal error would result if
the mesh argument did not have a names attribute. This has
been fixed.
Internal: General code cleaning/optimizing. New internal
functions have been created.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.1-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Class orientated objects have been introduced, including print
methods and extraction functions.
Diagnostics plots can be implemented using plot, or the lower
level functions dens, rl, pp, qq (univariate) and bvdens, bvcpp,
bvdp (bivariate).
Parameters can be profiled using the functions profile and
profile2d. Profile deviance surfaces can be plotted using plot.
Profile confidence intervals can be calculated using pcint.
Fitted models can be compared using the function anova.
New function fgev.quantile to fit the GEV distribution,
re-parameterizing using a quantile. This allows profile
deviances of extreme quantiles to be plotted.
Extra argument corr for fitting functions.
If corr is TRUE the correlation matrix is calculated.
By default corr is FALSE.
Extra argument warn.inf for fitting functions.
When warn.inf is TRUE (the default) a warning is given if the
negative log-likelihood is infinite at the starting values.
The ffrechet, fgumbel and frweibull functions are defunct.
Internal: Function ccop for calculating conditional copulas.
CHANGES FROM VERSION 1.0-0 ARE AS FOLLOWS
Automated starting values for fitting functions.
Compiled code is now used within the bivariate fitting routines
and all bivariate simulation functions.
They are consequently much faster than those in Version 1.0-0.
Simulation, distribution, density and fitting functions for the
bivariate bilogistic, bivariate negative bilogistic and
bivariate Coles-Tawn models.
A new function fbvall which fits all bivariate models
simultaneously.
For every model it returns maximum likelihood estimates, standard
errors, criteria for model comparisons based on the deviance
(e.g. AIC), and summaries of the dependence structure (see the
help file for details).
A new function abvnonpar which calculates or plots non-parametric
estimates of the dependence function.
All functions explicitly allow for missing values.
This includes bivariate fitting functions, where missing values can
occur on either or both margins within any observation.
Extra argument nsloc for univariate fitting functions,
and arguments nsloc1 and nsloc2 for bivariate fitting functions.
These allow non-stationary fitting using linear models for the
location parameters.
Extra argument std.err for fitting functions.
If std.err is FALSE the standard errors are not calculated.
By default std.err is TRUE.
Extra argument method for fitting functions.
The method argument explicitly specifies the optimization method
to be passed to the function optim.
The default method is now BFGS for all fitting functions except
fext and forder, where the default method is still Nelder-Mead.
The sealevel data frame has been expanded to include observations
from 1912 to 1992. There are 39 missing values.
Explicit error handling in fitting functions when the observed
information matrix is singular.
Artificial constraints are now placed on dependence parameters
within bivariate fitting functions to prevent numerical problems.
The asy argument for the bivariate asymmetric logistic and
bivariate asymmetric negative logistic models now defaults to
c(1,1).
The default values of the marginal parameters for the bivariate and
multivariate functions in Version 1.0-0 are different.
This is counter intuitive, so the default value for each margin
within the multivariate functions is now c(0,1,0) (Gumbel), which
is consistent with the functions for bivariate models.
The bivariate density functions contained a fairly minor BUG; if one
of the marginal parameter arguments were passed a three column
matrix and some of the rows of the matrix produced zero density, a
fatal error would result. This has now been fixed.
Internal: The .C interface is called with PACKAGE = "evd".
Internal: R_alloc replaces malloc in C routines.
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